Trading Post

Weekly Trading Signals - Week of 2026-09-07

Published: 2026-09-05 Target: Monday 7 September 2026 open Horizon: 1-3 day trades

US cash equities are closed Monday 7 Sep for Labor Day. Stock entries below are estimates for the next US cash open (Tue 8 Sep). FX, commodities and crypto trade through the holiday.

Macro last 7 days: August nonfarm payrolls printed 162k vs ~56k expected, lifting September Fed hike odds toward ~58-62%. Governor Waller had earlier cooled hike bets. Chair Warsh's late-August hawkish tone and Middle East energy risk kept oil bid. S&P 500 finished Friday at 7,718.60 (-0.4% Fri, +0.1% on the week). Nasdaq 26,506.99 (-0.3% Fri, +0.4% week). Gold near $4,470-$4,480. WTI near $91. BTC near $80k after a midweek reclaim then Friday fade.

Stocks

Symbol Signal (BUY/SELL/HOLD) Entry (Monday open estimate) Take Profit Stop-Loss Short Reasoning
NVDA HOLD next cash open near last close - - Hugging Face deal supported tape but hike odds and holiday thin liquidity cap follow-through.
TSLA BUY 354 372 343 ~6% weekly gain, high-volume mega-cap momentum above short SMA.
AMZN BUY 234 246 226 Session leader into week-end; consumer discretionary bid after Waller then jobs fade still leaves price above 5-day.
CRM HOLD 259 - - Large weekly software pop after earnings; mean-reversion risk after 17% rip.
LULU SELL 101 92 108 ~17% Friday collapse; price well below 5-day SMA with volume spike on the breakdown.
CAT BUY 814 845 792 Dow leader Friday with industrial bid and oil-linked construction demand.
CVX BUY 209 218 202 Energy complex firm on crude strength; weekly gain ~6% with volume.
AVGO SELL last close -3.5% +2.0% Weak Q4 revenue guide; hardware/software rotation and negative sentiment.
WMT HOLD 108 - - Defensive weekly bid but jobs-driven rate spike argues for no chase.
KLAC BUY 186 198 178 Semis leadership Friday (+7%); above 5-day with volume.

Forex

Symbol Signal (BUY/SELL/HOLD) Entry (Monday open estimate) Take Profit Stop-Loss Short Reasoning
EURUSD SELL 1.1600 1.1530 1.1655 Strong US jobs slammed euro to ~1.1585; pair below short EMAs in 1.1580-1.1640 range.
GBPUSD HOLD 1.3500 - - Held ~1.35 after two-week low; mixed UK calendar vs USD jobs shock.
USDJPY HOLD 156.00 - - Yen +~2.5% on the week on intervention risk; jobs bounce vs BoJ/MoF threat.
AUDUSD BUY 0.7190 0.7260 0.7135 Risk-on FX bid midweek and commodity linkage; weekly gain vs USD.
USDCAD SELL 1.3790 1.3680 1.3870 CAD firmer on week as pair dropped ~1%; oil support for CAD.
USDCHF SELL 0.8085 0.8010 0.8145 USD softer on week vs CHF; pair down ~0.7% into jobs.
NZDUSD BUY 0.5870 0.5940 0.5815 Strongest major midweek; risk-on pulse.

Commodities

Symbol Signal (BUY/SELL/HOLD) Entry (Monday open estimate) Take Profit Stop-Loss Short Reasoning
GC (Gold) HOLD 4475 - - Whipsaw: rebound to ~4488 then jobs-driven dip to ~4470; mixed vs 5-day.
SI (Silver) HOLD 66.50 - - Tracks gold; weekly almost flat after Friday fade.
CL (WTI) BUY 91.50 96.50 87.80 Above $90 on Hormuz/Iran risk; 5-day range $83-$91 and above major SMAs.
CO (Brent) BUY 96.00 101.00 92.00 Weekly energy leader near $96; geopolitics keep risk premium.
NG (Nat Gas) HOLD 2.90 - - Tight $2.81-$2.90 band; no volume spike.
HG (Copper) HOLD last close - - Industrial bid mixed vs stronger USD after payrolls.

Crypto

Symbol Signal (BUY/SELL/HOLD) Entry (Monday open estimate) Take Profit Stop-Loss Short Reasoning
BTC BUY 79800 84500 76800 Reclaimed $80k-$82k on volume and short squeeze; week +~3% despite Friday slip.
ETH BUY 2505 2680 2390 Week ~+4-5% with ETH ETFs still in inflow streak.
SOL BUY 103.50 114.00 97.50 High-volume L1; followed majors off $99 lows.
XRP BUY 1.45 1.58 1.34 ~6% 24h spike on risk bid and volume.
BNB HOLD 720 - - Participated in bounce but thinner catalyst vs BTC/ETH.
DOGE HOLD 0.083 - - High-beta lag; no clean SMA+volume setup.

Portfolio Allocation Suggestion

35% Commodities (energy overweight) / 30% Crypto / 20% Stocks (energy and semis, avoid broken retail) / 15% Forex (short USD vs commodity FX; fade EURUSD rallies)

Overall Risk Score: High

Estimated Max Profit Potential: 6%

Risk is elevated into Labor Day thin books, September seasonality, CPI/PPI next week, and the 15-16 Sep FOMC. Energy longs and BTC bounce can pay if the Hormuz premium holds and hike odds do not spike further. Cut size on US equity names until Tuesday cash open.

Sources

  • AP News, How major US stock indexes fared Friday 9/4/2026
  • Reuters, Wall Street ends lower as solid jobs data fuels hawkish Fed bets; Fed hike back in focus after strong jobs report
  • NYSE MAC Desk Weekly Recap, 4 Sep 2026
  • FXEmpire / Yahoo Finance, EUR/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CAD short-term forecasts 4 Sep 2026
  • Investing.com, Asian currencies / yen weekly gain
  • StreetStats; mercatusdata; CoinStats; Fortune India crypto wrap 4 Sep 2026
  • Federal Reserve, Waller remarks 3 Sep 2026